Sat.Jul 16, 2022 - Fri.Jul 22, 2022

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MiB: Antti Ilmanen, Co-Head, Portfolio Solutions, AQR

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Antti Ilmanen, who is the principal and global co-head of the portfolio solutions group at AQR Capital Management. His research into markets and valuation has won numerous accolades and recognitions, including the Graham and Dodd award, the Harry M. Markowitz special distinction award, multiple Bernstein Fabozzi/Jacobs Levy awards for his articles, and CFA Institute’s 2017 Leadership in Global Investment Award.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. These were the most read posts on the site this week, in case you missed it: The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Trending Sources

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Use a comma between consecutive adjectives?

Investment Writing

When two consecutive adjectives modify the same noun, you’re supposed to put a comma between them. I sometimes struggle to decide if that’s appropriate. After all, there are cases when the first adjective modifies the second, as in “pale blue paper.” So I was delighted to find this advice from Jan Venolia in Write Right! : One way to determine consecutive whether adjectives modify the same noun ( a young, energetic student ) is to insert the word and between the adjectives.

Investing 101
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Anticipated Joy vs. Anticipated Regret

A Wealth of Common Sense

Frank Rabinovich was a portfolio manager and technology specialist at bond giant PIMCO in the 1990s. The way his colleagues treated him was a microcosm of the culture at the firm in its heyday. Co-workers would douse him with bug spray, claiming he smelled bad. They cut off the bottom of his ties when they didn’t like the look of them. They tackled him relentlessly in games of touch football since he wasn’t as.

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Shift Your Perspective

The Big Picture

After yesterday’s discussion on the uncertainty monster , a friend who “loves perspective changers” reached out with a challenge: “Most people rarely question their own basic ideas,” he said, He challenged me to find 10 concepts to do just that. I agreed to give it a shot, assembling a list of my own, filling it out with a few classics from others: Uncertainty : Objectively speaking “uncertainty” does not increase or decrease – by definition, the future is always inherently uncertain.

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Emotional Investing

Integrity Financial Planning

What are the risks of making emotional decisions when it comes to your money? Brian shares what he tells clients about investing and retirement planning. During the football draft, so many decisions are based on emotions. For instance, Tom Brady, the greatest of all time, was 199 th pick when he was drafted in 2000. Similarly, investors who want to plan their own retirement might pick stocks based on emotions that they later regret.

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The Longest & Shortest Bear Markets

A Wealth of Common Sense

My latest piece for Fortune compiles a lot of the work I’ve been putting together here on the blog — how long bear markets tend to last, the two types of bear markets, bear markets vs. recessions and how investors should approach down markets depending on where they are in their investing lifecycle. * The technical definition of a bear market in stocks is a drawdown of 20% or worse from peak to trough.

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Risk & Reward: Two Sides of Same Coin

The Big Picture

Barry Ritholtz, Ritholtz Wealth Management Chairman and CIO & “Masters in Business” host, discusses investing in a volatile market and the probability the Fed causes a recession. Risk, Reward Two Sides of Same Coin, says Ritholtz. ?. Source: Bloomberg , July 19th, 2022. Previously : Rally , Multiple Compression , Earnings¯_(?)_/¯ Recession , Double Bottom (July 18, 2022).

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5 unconventional ways to ask for referrals

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Bryce Sanders Financial advisors are trained to ask clients for referrals, and so from time to time we ask, “Do you know anyone I can help?” Put on the spot, though, sometimes our clients’ minds go blank. Yet, happy clients can be your best advocates. How can we do a better job at asking for referrals? Who wants an extra slice of pie? Your client asked about a specific product.

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How to use LinkedIn – for Financial Advisors – Part 1

Conneqtor

Establish Authenticity So, what does it mean to be authentic? Yes, the heading here is very different from our title: How to use LinkedIn for Financial Advisors, but bear with me, and you’ll quickly find that both these sentences answer the same thing – the humanization of your brand.

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France to pay €9.7bn for nationalisation of EDF

Financial Times M&A

Government to offer €12 per share to investors to take full control of power group

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Coming Shift in Global Economic Power?

The Big Picture

Visualizing the Coming Shift in Global Economic Power (2006-2036p). Source: Visual Capitalist. I never know what to make of these grand extrapolations but submitted for your approval… The post Coming Shift in Global Economic Power? appeared first on The Big Picture.

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The Last Time Inflation Was This High

A Wealth of Common Sense

The last time inflation was this high was November of 1981. I was 3 months old at the time. There are some similarities between now and then. There was an energy crisis back then just like there is today. The Fed was tightening monetary policy to fight inflation in the early-1980s as well. And people were increasingly unhappy about the economic state of affairs.

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Valuing a Venture Capital Portfolio

A VC: Musings of a VC in NYC

Every quarter our firm goes through a process to value our entire portfolio. Those values, on a schedule of investments we publish to our investors every quarter, flow through to our financial statements and capital accounts and establish how much an interest in our partnerships are worth at that time. We have always taken this process very seriously and approach it with a lot of rigor.

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Is ESG Investing Right For Me?

Financial Symmetry

Increasingly, we as investors want to incorporate sustainable companies and business practices into our lives. Fortunately, there are many areas of our lives where we can intentionally spend and direct our dollars to facilitate the change we want to see … Continued. The post Is ESG Investing Right For Me? appeared first on Financial Symmetry, Inc.

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1965 Jaguar XKE Series I 4.2 Roadster

The Big Picture

Has there ever been a sexier, more lovely roadster than the Jaguar E-Type? It is perhaps the most beautiful convertible — ever. Even Enzo Ferrari called the E-Type ‘ The most beautiful car ever made.” And a 150-mph top speed didn’t hurt either. The E-Type was continually upgraded from 1961 through 1975 while retaining its spectacular styling. The original 3.8-liter XK straight-six made 265bhp from the factory; the engine grew to 4.2 liters. and produced the same 265 horsepower as the 3.8-l

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Investing in Home Renovations vs. Investing in Stocks

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: I’ve been buying the dip for the past couple of months in the market and feel pretty comfortable in my positions. Should I continue to buy the dip or invest in my home (ie, new fence, additional rooms/bathroom, etc.? I understand the line of thinking here but I look at the stock market and investing in your home as two separate categories when it comes to capital allocation decisions.

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Energy crisis prompts ESG rethink on oil and gas

Financial Times: Moral Money

Investors are starting to look more favourably on energy companies because of their role in the transition to a decarbonised economy

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Find all the leads you want through magnetic marketing

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Bryan J. Sweet, CLU, ChFC, and Brittany Anderson In the financial services world, we are faced with issues of not being trusted and then of prospects receiving an avalanche of indistinguishable blurry marketing messages. How do you overcome this and stand out from the marketing noise? And how do you avoid making your marketing all about you? First of all, understand this harsh reality check: No one cares about you.

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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My end-of-week morning offsite reads: • A New Bull Market Can’t Start Until Investors Give Up For a new cycle to begin, people who bet on the market need to capitulate. Problem is, they’ve forgotten what that feels like. ( Wall Street Journal ). • What’s Going On…With Jobs The June jobs report was cheered by economic bulls given its strength in level terms, but rates of change among leading indicators don’t favor a soft-landing outcome for the economy. ( Charles Schwab ) see al

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Animal Spirits: Extreme Cost Cutting

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts: See here for YCharts Highlights, Lowlights, and insights from 1H 2022 On today’s show we discuss: Inflation isn’t getting better yet Inflation has outpaced wage growth The deflation risk How would investors react if we got some inflation (June 2020) Fed officials preparing to raise rates by another 75bps Average car payments hit a record high Investors h.

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Surging demand for cobalt spurs hunt for mineral in Australia’s mine waste

Financial Times: Moral Money

Geologists scour outback for commodity used in EV batteries as Canberra seeks to diversify from fossil fuels

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Identifying the four stages of transition for widows 

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Laura H. Mattia, Ph.D., CFP While the journey through grief and widowhood is unique to each widow, it will likely progress through four stages of transition. The following are the four stages and what you should focus on to help her through her journey: 1. Preparation is where she has time to get her financial life in order and brace for what she knows is about to happen.

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Rally??, Multiple Compression??, Earnings¯_(?)_/¯ Recession??, Double Bottom??

The Big Picture

Ignore the emojis in the headline long enough to ask yourself this question: What might the rest of 2022 look like ? I did that exercise last week in response to a client inquiry about the second half of the year. The context was excess cash looking for a good long-term home (not a trade). The question was not so much where to put the capital, but rather when to deploy it.

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How Are Financial Advisors Getting New Clients in 2022?

FMG

According to the AARP, 45% of middle-aged Americans would rather visit the dentist than make an appointment with a financial advisor. Why is that? Most people distrust financial services as an industry. Prospects don’t know how to choose a “good” financial advisor. Many people aren’t clear on what an advisor does, making the process overwhelming.

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UK aims to set the pace for corporate net zero plans

Financial Times: Moral Money

Policymakers want to make the country a world leader in green finance, but without scaring businesses away

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Judge grants Twitter fast-track trial to decide fate of $44bn Musk deal

Financial Times M&A

Social media platform wins early victory in fight to force billionaire to complete acquisition

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Volcanica coffee, grab a seat by tbe pool, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The Hidden Fees Making Your Bananas, and Everything Else, Cost More : A cadre of ocean carriers are charging exorbitant, potentially illegal, fees on shipping containers stuck because of congestion at ports. Sellers of furniture, coconut water, even kids’ potties say the fees are inflating costs. ( ProPublica ). • How the Amusement Park Conquered America From

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9 Marketing Tips for Fee-Only Advisors from the XYPN Marketing Team

XY Planning Network

6 MIN READ. Although seemingly obvious, it’s worth saying—a firm isn’t a firm without clients. It can be tempting to think of your marketing activities as aside from your actual firm and what it is you do day to day. The truth is, as a firm owner, your success depends just as much on your ability to effectively communicate your value proposition with your ideal client as it does on you delivering that value.

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Chief sustainability officers prosper as ESG risks mount

Financial Times: Moral Money

CSOs are an increasingly indispensable part of the executive team — and a potentially valuable source of tip-offs

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Mergers destroy value. Without reform, nothing will change

Financial Times M&A

The M&A playbook of warped incentives, rent extraction and creative accounting is overdue a rewrite

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10 Wednesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My mid-week morning train WFH reads: • How long bear markets typically last—and how you should think about investing during this one : Going back to the end of World War II, the U.S. stock market has experienced 13 bear markets (including the current one). In the previous 12 bear markets, the average loss was –32.7%. It took the stock market an average of around 12 months to go from the peak of the market to the bottom.

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What Is Diversification and Why Does It Matter?

Wealthfront

Diversification is the practice of buying a variety of different investments with the goal of balancing risk and reward in your portfolio. A well-diversified portfolio can help you maximize your expected returns without taking on unnecessary or unwanted risk. This is known as “improving your risk-adjusted returns.” You can think of diversification as a way […].

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Investors grapple with complexities of biodiversity

Financial Times: Moral Money

Businesses’ impact on nature poses risks that are both severe and hard to quantify