Sat.Jul 23, 2022 - Fri.Jul 29, 2022

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Soft Landing RIP

The Big Picture

For the first half of this year, I have steadfastly refused to join Club Recessionista. I have not believed we were already in a recession, and I was hopeful that a moderate Fed gradually raising rates to throttle inflation could execute that soft landing. No longer. As I mentioned to Tom Keene last week, Nick Timiraos in the Wall Street Journal revealed the Fed’s intention to raise rates 75 basis points brought a reckoning to my hopes of a non-recessionary growth slow down.

Financing 137
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Real Estate vs. Stocks vs. Bonds vs. Inflation

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: Many right now are saying real estate is the only way to get a real return in a safe manner. Will you post some data on real estate vs. bonds vs. stocks? You always have to be careful when you use the word “safe” when it comes to investing. An investment that feels safe now could be very risky in the future and vice versa.

Assets 132
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Trending Sources

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The Pre-Board Board: How to Create Accountability Before You Give Away a Board Seat

This is going to be BIG.

Typically, investors don’t take a board seat until you raise your first equity round—which means that it could be *years* before you have a real board meeting: A year of nights/weekends work researching, prototyping, and fundraising. You raise your pre-seed round and if you're lucky and good, you can get to an equity round in 12-18 months. Many people extend this round and don’t get there for two years.

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Arrivederci

The Reformed Broker

It’s been an honor and a pleasure writing, recording and filming for you guys all year. 2022 has been incredibly challenging as an investor, a financial advisor, an investment advisory CEO and a professional market commentator. Tough all around. Like everyone else, I’ve gotten some stuff right and some stuff wrong this year. Based on this week’s reaction to large cap technology company earnings and the F.

Investors 103
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The Great Resignation Is Long Over

The Big Picture

Today is Fed day, when we get the 75 bps increase that dramatically increases the odds of a recession. The main storyline is inflation, but the overlooked subplot here is Wages. I have detailed over the past decade or so the lagging nature of wages in America — deflationary in economic terms — and how that had begun to change in the late 2010s pre-pandemic.

Taxes 131
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The Best & Worst Years in Stock Market History

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: As a long term investor (10-20 year horizon) is it worth selling portions of a stock when it’s up and taking some profits, maybe reinvesting when the price goes down or pocketing the money? Or, is it best to stay “all in” regardless of the ups and downs? There are two different ways to think about this question. One is the Charlie Munger approach.

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Planning Details for NUA: A Tax-Saving Strategy

Fortune Financial

In many large businesses, it’s common for employees to own stock in the company. Anyone who owns company stock will eventually have to decide how to distribute their assets — typically when there is a job change or retirement involved. When you are presented with the option to distribute your assets, you will have the choice to roll them into an IRA or place the stock into a taxable account and then roll the remaining assets into an IRA or 401(k).

Taxes 98
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MiB: Graham Weaver, Alpine Investors 

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Graham Weaver, who is the founder and CEO of Alpine Investors, a private equity firm in San Francisco that invests in software and services. Graham has been in private equity for over 20 years, having started Alpine in his dorm room at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. We discuss how he launched a PE company in his dorm at Stanford’s GSB, and proceeded to “make every mistake in the book.” But his investors stayed with him, impressed by his commu

Investors 121
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A Giant Distraction to the Business of Investing

A Wealth of Common Sense

Three random thoughts on the current state of the stock market: (1) The top 10 stocks are getting smoked. One of the prevailing theories during this past bull market is the biggest stocks were carrying the S&P 500. The top 10 stocks now make up more than 30% of the index by market cap so it would make sense for this group to have an outsized impact on the performance of the market.

Investing 125
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The New Social Security Trustees Report May Impact Retirement Income Planning

Covisum

If you haven't already, it's essential to take the time to familiarize yourself with the latest Social Security Trustees report. The solvency issues are a significant concern for people on the cusp of retirement today since the depletion date outlined in the report, 2034, is well within their life expectancy. As you're discussing Social Security benefits and how they fit in the context of the retirement strategy , it's important to note that the Social Security trust fund is scheduled to run out

Funds 98
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2022 2nd Quarter Market Update

Financial Symmetry

This brief video includes recent updates on the global stock and bond markets. In addition, please contact your Financial Symmetry team if you have any specific questions regarding your portfolio, our strategy or performance. Click on the video below to … Continued. The post 2022 2nd Quarter Market Update appeared first on Financial Symmetry, Inc.

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GDP = -0.9%

The Big Picture

Following a negative GDP print in the first quarter, a strong but inflation-racked economy expanded in the second quarter on a nominal basis, but contracted in real inflation-adjusted terms. BEA reported “Real gross domestic product decreased at an annual rate of 0.9 percent in the second quarter of 2022, following a decrease of 1.6 percent in the first quarter.

Investors 116
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Was That the Bottom?

A Wealth of Common Sense

As of the close of the trading day on June 16, 2022, the S&P 500 was down 23% from its all-time highs: The Russell 2000 Index of small cap stocks and the Nasdaq 100 were both down nearly 32% and 33%, respectively, from their highs. That’s a pretty decent bear market. Since that day, the S&P 500 is up 13%. The Russell 2000 has shot up 14% while the Nasdaq 100 has bounced 16%.

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Client engagement is a blessing

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Antoinette Tuscano You can tell clients you’re a caring person who wants to help others, and they might believe you. Or you can show them by inviting them to be part of your efforts to help. Then you become the financial advisor who stands out from the crowd and who they’re proud to refer to their friends and family. “I would be philanthropic regardless of my profession,” said Katherine Kimball, B.S., a five-year MDRT member from Lynn, Massachusetts, USA.

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Surprising Stats about the 4 Stages of Retirement, Ep #169

Financial Symmetry

Which retirement stage are you in? Spoiler alert: the stages begin before you are retired. You’ll also be surprised by some of the stats we uncover as we dissect findings in the latest Age Wave study on retirement. We’ve had … Continued. The post Surprising Stats about the 4 Stages of Retirement, Ep #169 appeared first on Financial Symmetry, Inc.

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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My end-of-week morning train WFH reads: • The 8 economists who decide if the U.S. is in a recession : Even if gross domestic product figures show a shrinking economy, a recession won’t officially have begun unless the National Bureau of Economic Research says so. ( Washington Post ). • Why doesn’t the Fed just hike 200bp all at once? The cases for and against bold, abrupt moves ( Noahpinion ). • Despite Headwinds, Institutions See Opportunities Private market returns have come down off th

Startups 115
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Animal Spirits: Redefining a Recession

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by Nasdaq and Composer: See here for Nasdaq’s research on the shifting profile of retail investors. See here for more info on Composers’ rules-based strategies On today’s show we discuss: Rich people keep spending money The upper-middle class is getting squeezed What is a recession? Walmart issues a profit warning Home price growth slowed for the secon.

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Get prospects to call you back

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Matt Pais, MDRT Content Specialist All advisors have been in a situation when they just can’t get certain prospects to return their calls and address whether they want to do business together. Dharmesh Goel , a 15-year MDRT member from Downers Grove, Illinois, has a solution to this problem: Send them an empty UPS envelope. “What would I do in that kind of situation?

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Moonshot: can Eutelsat compete in a space race with Bezos and Musk?

Financial Times M&A

Merger of French satellite operator and money-losing OneWeb shows pressure old order faces from challengers

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2022 Audi Q4 e-tron Sportback

The Big Picture

The Q4 E-Tron and Q4 E-Tron Sportback are geared toward first-time EV buyers who want a mainstream, well-made, luxury SUV. Based on the same MEB electric platform as the parent company Volkswagen, it’s similar to the VW ID.4. Unlike their EV competitors, Audi is simply electrifying their current line of ICE SUVs. Compared to futuristic and spacey models like 2023 Genesis GV60 and the Kia EV6 , Audi’s crossovers present as very familiar vehicles that just happen to have an electric p

Taxes 112
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Moving Beyond “Fee-Only” by Building an “Advice-Only” Firm

XY Planning Network

4 MIN READ. As the business of financial advice continues to evolve, so too do the service models and compensation structures that advisors offer. With regulatory changes driving advisors to rein in their fees along with clients yearning for more holistic fiduciary advice, it’s becoming increasingly imperative that entrepreneurial-minded advisors are focused on building firms that ensure their interests align with their clients’.

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The memorable 3-minute inflation explanation

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Richard Dobson Jr., CFP. Inflation has devastating effects on our clients’ savings and investment accounts, and advisors must help them understand why it is a major factor behind our advice to allocate a portion of their core assets to equities. So how can we best communicate the risk of inflation to our clients and prospects? Keep it simple. Make it memorable.

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France’s Eutelsat nears deal to buy UK satellite company OneWeb

Financial Times M&A

Deal will bring together British, French and Chinese governments in competition with Musk’s Starlink

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BlackRock reduces support for climate and social resolutions

Financial Times: Moral Money

Proposals that ‘dictate the pace’ of energy transition receive fewer votes from $8.

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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My back-to-work a recession is coming morning train WFH reads: • Inverted Yield Curve: A Recession Alarm Is Ringing on Wall Street : An inversion of the bond market’s yield curve has preceded every U.S. recession for the past half century. It is happening again. ( New York Times ). • There Was Never Anything Wrong With Value : How the influence of popular value benchmarks challenges investor faith in the style and even the business of some value managers. ( Institutional Investor ) see also The

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The Make or Break Moment for Stocks

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ?Make or break moment – “Weak Earnings Reports Aren’t Fazing Investors After Brutal Year for Stocks” ?Recession is Consensus – Food price inflation crowding out spending on other goods, most no.

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FTC sues Meta to block acquisition of VR fitness app maker Within

Financial Times M&A

US regulator’s lawsuit is the first direct shot at a Big Tech deal under chair Lina Khan

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Meet the Team: William Schaefermeyer

FMG

We are so excited to kick off our “Meet the Team” blog series, and for our first one we chatted with Customer Success Coordinator, William Schaefermeyer. When he isn’t working with advisors and customers to ensure they are achieving their goals, he loves to travel, play the piano and play chess. To learn more about William and what he does in his free time, be sure to check out our first “Meet the Team” blog.

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How Can I Minimize Taxes When I Invest?

Wealthfront

Taxes often signal good news for investors: they’re usually a sign you’re making money. At the same time, taxes can also eat into your returns and reduce the amount of earnings that you get to keep. Fortunately, there’s a lot you can do as an investor to lower your tax bill and invest more tax-efficiently. […]. The post How Can I Minimize Taxes When I Invest?

Taxes 52
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What Equity Compensation Shares Are the Best to Contribute to a Donor Advised Fund? Part 2

Zajac Group

Welcome back to our two-part series on how to use equity compensation to optimize your charitable contributions to a Donor Advised Fund (DAF). In Part 1, we covered two ways to maximize both your tax benefits, as well as the gift value for your intended recipients. To achieve this win-win ideal, it’s important to be deliberate about which equity compensation share lots you donate, as well as whether you donate them as post-sale cash proceeds, or unsold shares.

Funds 52
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‘Here we go’: FTC’s Meta case puts Lina Khan’s antitrust vision to the test

Financial Times M&A

Landmark lawsuit to block virtual reality deal will challenge Big Tech and the legal establishment

Legal 86
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Advent International and CEMEX partner to accelerate development of NEORIS

Advent International

MONTERREY, MEXICO, JULY 26, 2022 – CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. (“CEMEX”) and Advent International (“Advent”) announced today that Advent, one of the largest and most experienced global private equity investors, will partner with CEMEX to accelerate the growth and development of NEORIS. As a global provider of tech consultancy and digital transformation services, NEORIS will strengthen its capabilities and reach through Advent’s expertise in the space.

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Webinar: State of the Market Halfway Through 2022

Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

When it comes to finances and investing, 2022 has started in a rocky fashion. The lasting impacts of COVID-19 – including its continued effect on supply chain snags – and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have had a hand in the increasing impact of inflation, as well as the rollercoaster ride of the stock markets. And regardless of whether you have an advisor or you manage your own investments, you’d be lucky to be down only a few percent year-to-date.

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Sad Loss for Our Company

Tobias Financial

It is with tremendous sadness that we inform you of the sudden passing of our Operations Manager, Ramesh Narine. Ramesh was a beloved member of our Tobias Financial Advisors family. His infectious personality, energetic spirit, kind heart, dedicated work ethic, and contagious laughter will be missed by all those that had the pleasure of knowing him.